Weak signals or willful failure to perceive them?

The following is a speech I gave at this years World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland. The theme for this years Davos was “Resilient Dynamism” and I thought it worked well with the topic “Weak Signals” that I was about to discuss. Actually, in a perfect world, the following was supposed to be the speech I was supposed to give, however, I wasn’t allowed to use notes or a teleprompter, so the actual presentation turned out to be what I remembered of the text below: Reducing loss from natural disasters – Weak signals or willful failure to perceive them? I’d like to challenge the proposition that the notion of “weak signals”


Microsoft Digital Youth Awards

I recently participated in something called the Microsoft Digital Youth Award 2013 It was interesting in that it was part promotion of Microsoft’s new Windows 8 Operating System running on the Surface Tablet and also part getting people with diverse backgrounds to think of interesting applications for the new format. I had contributed to some of the development of the award itself and apparently it had over 1,100 applicants. By the time we did the 1st round of judging, it was whittled down to 22 applicants. In the final round of judging, it was down to 12 finalists. Here are the judges for the event: http://digitalyouth.jp/award/judge/ Here are the 2013

Initial proposal to national strategy commission (Part 3 of 3)

This is the third and final part of the proposal I sent to the national strategy commission of the government of Japan (The start of the proposal can be found here). — Developing the Process and Environment that Addresses the Larger Picture A society that can “do more with less” must be created. Thus, innovation through the development of an entrepreneurial mindset is the only solution. Diversity, in all its forms, must be encouraged at every level. Creativity, innovation, and entrepreneurial activities all impart some level of risk. Therefore a better concept and understanding of risk must be developed in Japan. Successful and innovative companies from around the world, and from Japan immediately after WWII, all share

Initial proposal to national strategy commission (Part 2 of 3)

This is a continuation from Part 1 of the proposal I sent to the national strategy commission of the government of Japan.   —   The Symptomatic Issues   Japan’s problems cannot be solved separately from one another. The causes and consequent problems must be approached in their entirety as closely interlinked issues that have been developing prior to 3.11.   With a fertility rate at just 1.35 per person, 40% of the population will be over 65 years old by 2060 and the total population reduced by 30% to 86.75 million people. The difficulties that stem from these demographic issues will only continue to increase for following generations under the present circumstances. As a result,

The Bellwether Series 2012: Japan

I was asked by the Economist Group as a guest delegate to an Economist Conference held at the Hotel Okura in Tokyo on May 16, 2012. I always enjoy the Economist magazine but their conferences (which I participate in from time-to-time) are put together very well. Anyway, I thought I ‘d blog about some points I found interesting during the conference. Obviously, to those who know me, I talk about many of these topics on a continual basis. Interesting answer to when JGB holdings becomes a problem (“clear and present danger”) is when the Japanese economy actually recovers. Interesting/good point since the capital requirements of a growing economy would increase

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